Keywords: demography, population, Russia, petroleum, developed countries,
environment, population number, biosphere, free market,
living standard, employment, retirement, pension
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
I. INTERNAL DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEM
I.1 Population load of children and the elderly
I.2 Speculations around the internal demographic problem
I.3 Developed versus third world countries: the danger of established relationships
I.4 Developed countries versus petroleum exporters: the danger of established relationships?
I.5 Can oil remain a free market commodity?
II. EXTERNAL DEMOGRAPHIC PROBLEM: POPULATION AND ENVIRONMENT
II.1 Natural individual territory as the basic human right
II.2 How and why human basic right got permanently violated?
II.3 City and the genetic program of Homo sapiens
II.4 Stability of the human-friendly environment
II.5 "Living standard" and employment rate, two misleading indices
II.6 Culture as a drug in the overpopulated world
III. CONCLUSIONS: What is to be done?
IV. APPENDIX 1 (Quantitative bases of demography -- Lotka's equations)
IV. APPENDIX 2 (What is the main problem of the modern civilization?)
INTRODUCTION
Demographic problem has two parts, of which one is a focus of intense
social debates across the developed as well as developing countries,
while the second one largely remains in the shade, despite its by far
greater importance.
The first part concerns the internal population problem -- how the
population can stably persist in an environment assumed to be practically
unaffected by the population. That is, how the working part of the
population can most efficiently provide for the living of the non-working
part of the population (children and the elderly), at the same time
retaining high competitive capacity of the population as a whole.
The second part is an external problem of how population can survive in
the environment, which -- in reality -- is profoundly affected by
functioning of the population itself. In other words, how to preserve an
environment suitable for the population existence? This fundamental
problem, as we show, is directly related to the inherent biological and
ecological rights of Homo sapiens, e.g., to the mental health of humans.
Namely this primary problem had to be solved first of all by each new
species evolved during the two billion years of life's existence. If a
biological species successfully solved the first, internal problem, but
could not solve the second, external one, the species had no chances of
survival. It was discarded as an evolutionary error. In the meantime,
while laying so much emphasis on the first problem, modern humans in
effect practically ignore the importance of the second one. In Appendix 2
it is discussed why namely the external demographic problem is the main
problem of modern humanity.
In this article we analyze the demographic problem in all its integrity
from the point of view of natural science. How many people can inhabit
the planet without violating each other's inherent, genetically encoded
human rights? What are these inherent biological and ecological human
rights? What are the causes of the present-day limited understanding and
primitive interpretations of the population numbers's problem? What
societal formations in the modern world are pregnant with most danger
with respect to the stability of the civilization? What is going on today
and what should be done, if one wants to ensure a future for the
humanity?
We start by considering possible solutions of the first problem and how
it is generally approached in modern societies.
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